"The best way to predict your future is to create it." Abraham Lincoln

Lincoln High School Statesman

"The best way to predict your future is to create it." Abraham Lincoln

Lincoln High School Statesman

"The best way to predict your future is to create it." Abraham Lincoln

Lincoln High School Statesman

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The lore behind Groundhog Day

For+many%2C+Punxsutawney+Phil%E2%80%99s+prediction+marks+the+passage+from+winter+to+the+looming+spring+season.+%0A%28Photos+used+with+permission+by+Pravokrugulnik%2C+Lesiapavlenko%2C+Stagart%2C+Khunjew+Thunyarat%2C+Niklas+Jeromin%29%0A
For many, Punxsutawney Phil’s prediction marks the passage from winter to the looming spring season. (Photos used with permission by Pravokrugulnik, Lesiapavlenko, Stagart, Khunjew Thunyarat, Niklas Jeromin)

With the seemingly never-ending void of South Dakota’s winter, many Midwesterners turn to Pennsylvania meteorologist, Punxsutawney Phil, to predict the early coming of spring. 

The roughly 20 lb., 138-year-old groundhog  has been predicting the weather since 1887 in his hometown of Punxsutawney, PA. More lovingly known as Punxsutawney Phil, Seer of Seers, Sage of Sages, Prognosticator of Prognosticators and the Weather Profit Extraordinaire, this rodent has become something of a celebrity throughout the nation. 

The tradition of Groundhog Day has its roots in German custom dating back to the 18th and 19th centuries. The holiday that is celebrated today is also influenced by Candlemas, an old Christian holiday characterized by the overcoming of winter to spring. As the current tradition goes, on Feb. 2 of each year, members of the community venture out to Phil’s residence in Gobbler’s Knob and eagerly await his emergence. Supposedly, if the groundhog sees his shadow, a further six weeks of winter can be expected. If not, onlookers rejoice in the anticipation of an early spring. The event brings audiences of thousands from around the world to gather around Phil’s burrow and await his insight; attracting even more recently from an online broadcast of the ceremony. 

In an interview with NPR, biology professor Christine Maher, stated that, “It’s the middle of winter, literally. Frankly, we’re bored and we’re looking for something to keep us occupied during the time of year.”

According to The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, Phil predicts correctly 100% of the time. This being said, other sources claim a success rate of about 39% dating back to the beginnings of the tradition; roughly 30% accuracy in the past decade. On the morning of Groundhog Day, after Phil has cast his prediction, legend has it that he will communicate his conclusion to the president of the Groundhog Club in a language exclusive to the pair – “Groundhogese.” Once an agreement has been made, the proclamation is communicated to the public. According to Punxsutawney lore, there has only ever been one Punxsutawney Phil. According to locals, he has been able to lead such a long and illustrious career with the help of the “elixir of life,” which he supposedly drinks each summer. As for the rest of the world’s population of groundhogs, their luck has run dry – with a life expectancy of roughly three years. Whether the tradition can be attributed to the one-and-only Phil or to a cycle of discreetly substituted rodents throughout the years, it is safe to say that the ceremony has caught the attention of the nation. 

Making a celebrity cameo in the 1993 film, “Groundhog Day,” starring Bill Murray, Punxsutawney Phil has been an object of the media since the popularization of the holiday. 

While not busy entertaining the nation on Groundhog Day, Phil can be observed year-round at his burrow in Punxsutawney with his “wife” Phyllis. He is taken care of by the “Inner Circle,” a specially-selected team of local community members who are responsible for the planning of events and the upkeep of the tradition.

As for Phil’s 2024 prediction, he emerged from his burrow at roughly 7:25 a.m. on Friday, Feb. 2 and did not see his shadow;  it looks like we are in for an early spring!

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About the Contributor
Vivian Kiesow-Knudsen
Vivian Kiesow-Knudsen, Staff Writer
Vivian Kiesow-Knudsen is a sophomore and first-year staff writer for the Statesman. When she is not wasting her money on iced matchas from Starbucks or writing up an AP Chem lab, you can probably find her thrift shopping or working a closing shift at Scooter’s. Kiesow-Knudsen is involved in LHS Orchestra, YPC, MNHS, SNHS, and Spanish Immersion. Outside of school, she enjoys driving around at night listening to Noah Kahan, coming up with her future travel plans to Europe and reminiscing about her time in New York.
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